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We Have The Momentum!

It's been a great week to be a Nebraska Democrat. Key developments in the U.S. Senate race and the U.S. House race in C.D. 2 prove that our message is catching on with the voters and that our candidates have the wind at their backs.

A brand new poll out on the House race in the Omaha dominated CD 2 indicates that this is a real horse race. This new poll released by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee indicates that longtime incumbent Congressman Lee Terry only has a 48% to 44% lead over John Ewing - a result within the margin of error. In what is a good sign for Ewing, the voters polled who know both candidates favored Ewing by a 50% to 47% margin. This means that Ewing's message of standing up for senior citizens and the middle class is breaking through.

In another boost for the Ewing campaign, the Omaha World Herald endorsed him saying that after fourteen years: "it's time for a change." This is a remarkable development for the World Herald since it has endorsed Terry in all of his previous races and has a long time history of largely endorsing Republican candidates. The World Herald blasted Terry for two false and negative ads he had to pull and labeled it: "unseemly behavior for a veteran congressman."

The World Herald endorsement correctly pointed out Ewing's exemplary service as Douglas County Treasurer and lauded him for stepping forward and chairing the United Way of the Midlands committee that handled funds donated for victims and families after the 2007 Von Maur shootings. The World Herald stated that: "Ewing has a proven record of leadership and accomplishment in public service. He has stepped beyond political clichés, demonstrating thoughtful analysis and a depth of knowledge in discussing the many difficult issues facing the next Congress."

The news has been equally good for the Bob Kerrey campaign for U.S. Senate. An internal poll released by the Kerrey campaign indicated that he has whittled away at Fischer's former commanding lead and now Fischer only leads Kerrey by a 50% to 45% margin. This is a remarkable accomplishment because earlier polls showed Fischer leading by double digits; including polls Fischer herself touted showing her ahead by 25 points.

Interestingly enough, the poll was taken from October 13 through October 16. What that means is that this poll does not fully encompass the time period after an ad was launched by the Kerrey campaign showing how Deb Fischer filed a frivolous lawsuit in a failed attempt to seize land from her elderly neighbors. (Highly placed sources with close ties to the Kerrey campaign have told me that the new ad has made a powerful impression on the focus groups that have watched it.)

The Republicans were quick to challenge the poll and questioned the credibility of Kerrey's pollster. However, those charges ring hollow because out of state billionaire Joe Ricketts has purchased $220,000.00 in TV ads bashing Senator Kerrey. If this race was a blowout and a foregone conclusion, it is doubtful that Ricketts would be spending this kind of money. Obviously, Ricketts knows that the race has tightened.

What this all means is that we Nebraska Democrats have an incredible opportunity this fall. We're in a position to win races for the U.S. Senate and House next month. Those who know me understand that I'm a huge Husker football fan. In my opinion, Tom Osborne's speech at halftime of the 1995 Orange Bowl against Miami is appropriate: "The fourth quarter is ours, they won't be able to stay with us. We are in way better condition than them, we outworked them, you saw them breathing hard toward the end of the half. We are going to be able to move the ball in the fourth quarter. Let's get it done this time, no excuses, let's get it done!"

Dennis Crawford is our newly elected 2nd Associate Chair. He will begin serving his term on the NDP's executive board at the first State Central Committee meeting following November's election. Thank you to Dennis for his contribution to the NDP's blog.




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